I had Green Bay as my last team in on the at-large board this evening, and contrary to opinions of other bracket folks, I did NOT believe that Providence was deserving of an at-large. Why I thought this is another discussion for another day, but the reality is a bid thief swooped in and grabbed a spot in the field. This means that one at-large must be moved off the board. Unfortunately I feel like  Green Bay has the flimsiest of all the cases for teams currently in, especially when Tennessee also beat Virginia, except they did so by 35, and had several other wins that were just decent enough to make them in the field. 

Nebraska has a terrible OOC, but you can't keep out a team that's beaten Ohio St, Wisconsin, and Michigan State on the road. They had players added to their roster after January, and they've shown they are a completely different team now. St. Joseph's had the same OOC issue, but they've done so much away from home this season that it's next impossible to keep this team out. Perhaps if Green Bay had held on to that seven point second half lead against Wisconsin back in November, things would be different. But in the case of the Phoenix, a win over Virginia just isn't going to cut it after one of their at-large competitors received a ticket to the dance. 

As the tournament picture becomes more clear, the number teams who are probably safe is slowly growing, and we're starting to focus in on the handful of teams who will be sweating out their fate on March 16th. With only 3-4 games remaining for most teams (conference tournaments included), most of the teams on the bubble have just as many blemishes as assets on their resume. So let's take a moment and go through three blind resume tests. If you only had to pick one team from each group, which team would you choose? 

Team A:
Record: 18-14
Record vs top 50: 4-7
Record vs top 100: 6-10
Road/Neutral: 3-11
OOC Key Wins: 33
Other Key Wins: @19, 17, 19
Bad Losses: @135, 194, @124

Team B:
Record: 25-7
Record vs top 50: 1-1
Record vs top 100: 5-3
Road/Neutral: 15-6
OOC Key Wins: 46 
Other Key wins: None
Bad Losses: @266, 140, @214

Team C:
Record: 20-12
Record vs top 50: 3-8
Record vs top 100: 8-9
Road/Neutral: 7-9 
Key OOC Wins: 34-N 
Other Key Wins: 61, 33, 14
Bad Losses: @120, 161, @193

Team A:
Record: 28-5
Record vs top 50: 1-3
Record vs top 100: 0-0
Road/Neutral: 12-5
Key OOC Wins: 45
Other Key Wins: None
Bad Losses: 116-N, @162

Team B:
Record: 21-11
Record vs top 50: 3-4 
Record vs top 100: 6-8
Road/Neutral: 5-9
Key OOC Wins: None
Other Key Wins: 8, 42, @45
Bad Losses: 111-N, @143

Team C:
Record: 21-11
Record vs top 50: 2-7 
Record vs top 100: 9-9
Road/Neutral: 12-7
Key OOC Wins: None
Other Key Wins: @34, 40
Bad Losses: 148, @144

Team A:
Record: 17-12
Record vs top 50: 3-7
Record vs top 100: 6-10
Road/Neutral: 3-9
Key OOC Wins: @64, 
Other Key Wins: 38, 5, 27
Bad Losses: 130, @126

Team B:
Record: 20-10
Record vs top 50: 3-5 
Record vs top 100: 7-6
Road/Neutral: 7-9
Key OOC Wins: @41, 24-N
Other Key Wins: 25
Bad Losses: @168, @125, @153, @193

Team C:
Record: 21-5
Record vs top 50: 1-1
Record vs top 100: 4-3
Road/Neutral: 11-3
Key OOC Wins: 10
Other Key Wins: None
Bad Losses: 170, @177